Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.064698 0.071517 0.078974 0.087772 0.097917 0.109310 0.123154
2024-10-20 0.054078 0.063277 0.074140 0.088074 0.105702 0.127584 0.157322
2024-10-27 0.046448 0.056721 0.069589 0.087224 0.111306 0.143896 0.192911
2024-11-03 0.041677 0.052708 0.067219 0.088266 0.119020 0.164077 0.238796
2024-11-10 0.038031 0.049513 0.065249 0.089215 0.126396 0.184979 0.291662
2024-11-17 0.034764 0.046346 0.062766 0.088824 0.131399 0.202982 0.345204
2024-11-24 0.032458 0.044218 0.061422 0.089801 0.138536 0.225917 0.415840
2024-12-01 0.030529 0.042402 0.060267 0.090799 0.145732 0.250509 0.499710
2024-12-08 0.028820 0.040725 0.059097 0.091526 0.152462 0.275776 0.596621
2024-12-15 0.027165 0.038965 0.057581 0.091397 0.157476 0.298729 0.699458
2024-12-22 0.025515 0.037065 0.055633 0.090208 0.160133 0.317147 0.800036
2024-12-29 0.024571 0.036210 0.055331 0.091967 0.169120 0.352945 0.978565
2025-01-05 0.023113 0.034429 0.053319 0.090306 0.170658 0.371246 1.113064
2025-01-12 0.022184 0.033459 0.052640 0.091171 0.178060 0.407765 1.352793
2025-01-19 0.021116 0.032177 0.051288 0.090510 0.181809 0.435503 1.585524
2025-01-26 0.020398 0.031442 0.050863 0.091703 0.190311 0.480955 1.967083
2025-02-02 0.019719 0.030724 0.050398 0.092743 0.198675 0.529727 2.450499
2025-02-09 0.018916 0.029734 0.049337 0.092349 0.203199 0.567527 2.938473
2025-02-16 0.018344 0.029117 0.048939 0.093385 0.211905 0.625149 3.726291
2025-02-23 0.017813 0.028541 0.048570 0.094439 0.220940 0.689240 4.789495
2025-03-02 0.017287 0.027941 0.048104 0.095206 0.229350 0.755958 6.177332
2025-03-09 0.016706 0.027203 0.047303 0.095071 0.234994 0.813995 7.779789
2025-03-16 0.016056 0.026301 0.046103 0.093818 0.236839 0.855251 9.401199